Western Kentucky vs North Texas 11/19/2011

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Western Kentucky winning 50% of simulations, and North Texas 50% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Western Kentucky commits fewer turnovers in 30% of simulations and they go on to win 66% when they take care of the ball. North Texas wins 63% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Bobby Rainey is averaging 160 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (43% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. Lance Dunbar is averaging 127 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (41% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NTEX +3

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